Statistical Analysis of Groundwater in the Water-Sensitive Natural Environment

Código

I-EBHE0036

Tema

WG 1.06: Water for biodiversity in a changing world

Resumo

Statistical Analysis of Groundwater in the Water-Sensitive Natural Environment Maria Grodzka-?ukaszewska1; Krzysztof Kochanek1; Grzegorz Sinicyn1; Bartosz Bednarz1; Ewa Jab?o?ska2; Tomasz Okruszko3, Mateusz Grygoruk3 (1) Warsaw University of Technology, Faculty of Building Services, Hydro and Environmental Engineering; Poland (2) University of Warsaw, Faculty of Biology, Poland (3) Warsaw University of Life Sciences ? SGGW, Institute of Environmental Engineering, Poland This study presents an analysis of the River Rospuda Valley (Poland, Europe), emphasizing the significance of the area for biodiversity conservation, the impact of climate change on the functioning of wetlands, and the importance of considering geological, hydrological, and climatic factors in the management and protection of this unique ecosystem. The River Rospuda Valley is a unique and relatively untouched peatland and rich biodiversity. The region is part of the European Natura 2000 network of protected areas due to its importance for conserving endangered habitats and species. The study focuses on statistical analysis of the probable behavior of the water table in the peatland by creating a conceptual and numerical model of groundwater flow in the area supported by Monte Carlo climate scenarios simulations. The model analyzes the variability of the groundwater level based on expected climate changes. The research also highlights the impact of subsurface geology on wetland ecosystems' effective conservation and management. The potential impact of climate change on the functioning of the Rospuda Wetlands, particularly in relation to changes in water flow characteristics and the response of the peatland to variations in precipitation have been scrutinised. The research provides insights into the anticipated changes in the water table under different climate scenarios, highlighting the importance of considering climate change projections in the management and conservation of wetland ecosystems.